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what threat does terrorism pose to the world

Terrorism Threat Assessment

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In light of the global increment in the number and lethality of terrorist attacks, information technology has become imperative that nations, states, and individual citizens get more than involved in a strategic vision to recognize, prepare for, and—if possible—forestall such events. RAND research and analysis has provided policymakers with objective guidance and recommendations to improve preparedness, international collaboration, response, and recovery to this global threat.

  • A cyclist rides along fencing surrounding the U.S. Capitol that was erected in the wake of the January 6 insurrection in Washington, D.C., July 8, 2021, photo by Kevin Lamarque/Reuters

    Commentary

    Politicians Face Violence and Threats from Voters—and Each Other. Are We Nearing a Civil War?

    Does America'due south increasingly uncivil behavior mean we are heading toward civil war? The historical tape seems to indicate that the country has a high tolerance for violence without breaking apart. Simply the threat of civil wars cannot exist dismissed.

  • A woman with a smartphone is seen in front of social media logos, May 25, 2021, photo by Dado Ruvic/Reuters

    Report

    Understanding the Online Extremist Ecosystem

    By the early 2010s, information technology was clear that the internet provided white supremacists and other extremists a tool to operationalize their hateful ideas and cause real-world harms. How can the average user empathize their risk of exposure to extremist content and make informed decisions almost the platforms they utilize?

Explore Terrorism Threat Assessment

  • Terrorist photos on top of an illustration of data clusters, photos by DPA Picture Alliance and Sean Rayford/Alamy; background by Astibuag/Adobe Stock

    Web log

    Terrorism Research: How RAND Defined and Congenital a New Field of Cognition

    In the early 1970s, among a worldwide rash of bombings, hijackings, and hostage-takings, RAND researchers began creating the starting time international database of terrorist incidents. Maintained until 2009, information technology chronicles more than 40,000 terrorist attacks since 1968.

  • Journal Article

    Journal Article

    The Atomization of Political Violence

    The determination that terrorism is likely to persist at low levels does not prevent large-scale attacks. The nowadays tumultuous land of the globe and growing domestic extremism could produce dramatic changes in the future trajectory of political violence.

  • Journal Article

    Journal Article

    Scenarios of Transnational Islamist Terrorism. Trends and Developments: A Fact-Based Threat Cess

    Some scholars have speculated that the current religious wave of terrorism, epitomized by the global jihadist motility, might finally be starting to ebb. Just the movement could very well roar back to life.

  • Blog

    News Manipulation, the Risk of Civil War, Russia and Ukraine: RAND Weekly Epitomize

    This weekly recap focuses on tracking news manipulation during the pandemic, the threat of some other civil war, preventing wellness insurance loss, and more than.

  • A member of the local Explosives and Ordnance Division wearing a specialized suit tries to install a water diffuser to an improvised explosive device during a bomb drill in a high school courtyard in Manila, Philippines, July 14, 2017, photo by Romeo Ranoco/Reuters

    Commentary

    Defining 'Terrorism' Is the Get-go Step to Defeating Information technology

    Western policy- and decisionmakers continue to grapple with how to define acts of terrorism and when it is appropriate to bring terrorism charges. Establishing a consensus on the definition of terrorism and bringing to center stage the importance of adequately charging acts of terrorism could be more important than ever.

  • U.S. Army soldiers participate in a parade in Washington, D.C., January 21, 2013, photo by Staff Sgt. Teddy Wade/U.S. Army

    Commentary

    The Link Between Extremism and Military Operation

    U.Southward. Department of Defense policy prohibits service members from actively participating in extremist activities. Broadening the policy to include passive forms of participation could innovate two challenges.

  • A protester is detained inside the U.S. Capitol as supporters of U.S. President Donald Trump protest outside, in Washington, D.C., January 6, 2021, photo by Jonathan Ernst/Reuters

    Commentary

    Capitol Rioters Face FBI Arrests and Prosecution. How Not to Make Them Martyrs in the Procedure

    The righteous wrath of those who view Jan 6 every bit an insurrection and believe we demand uncompromising prosecution is understandable. But is it strategic thinking? History has shown that prosecutions based on less severe and politically-fraught charges have a greater chance of resulting in the convictions needed to end this behavior.

  • National Guardmen on U.S. Capitol security detail in Washington, DC, January 11, 2021, photo by Master Sgt. Matt Hecht/U.S. Air National Guard

    Commentary

    How to Root Out Extremism in the U.S. Military machine

    The military machine has a growing extremism problem because America does. Service members who encompass violent extremism are thankfully few; Americans citizens who do and then are sadly far besides many. As a nation we need to deal with both.

  • Supporters of Donald Trump scale a wall as they storm the U.S. Capitol, in Washington, DC, January 6, 2021, photo by Shannon Stapleton/Reuters

    Commentary

    Domestic Violent Extremists Will Be Harder to Combat Than Homegrown Jihadists

    The behavior driving today's domestic extremists are deeply rooted in American history and society. For this and several other reasons, shutting them down volition prove far more difficult than combating homegrown jihadists.

  • News Release

    News Release

    Involvement in a U.S. G Strategy of Restraint May Exist Growing, So Advocates Demand to Provide More Details

    Every bit the Biden Assistants takes over, some U.S. policymakers have expressed involvement in a new arroyo to America'due south role in the globe: a realist thou strategy of restraint nether which the U.S. would cooperate more with other powers, reduce its forward military presence and finish or renegotiate some security commitments.

  • A world map puzzle with a piece on top, photo by Yuriy Panyukov/Adobe Stock

    Report

    A U.S. One thousand Strategy of Restraint

    Some U.S. policymakers accept expressed interest in a realist grand strategy of restraint. Under this approach, the U.s. would cooperate more with other powers, reduce its frontward military presence, and stop or renegotiate some security commitments. What are the policy implications of embarking downward this path?

  • Supporters of the outgoing president, Donald Trump, climb a wall during a deadly mob assault on the U.S. Capitol Building in Washington, D.C., January 6, 2021, January 6, 2021, photo by Jim Urquhart/Reuters

    Commentary

    The Battle of Capitol Hill

    The deadly mob assault on the U.S. Capitol Building was a predictable possibility. Democracy held, but security failed, spectacularly. We demand to be better prepared for hereafter acts of political violence.

  • Report

    Report

    Counter-Radicalization Bot Research: Using Social Bots to Fight Tearing Extremism

    Every bit the online recruitment of violent extremist organizations grows, the U.South. government may benefit from promising emerging technology tools to chop-chop detect targets of such recruitment efforts and deliver counter-radicalization content to them.

  • People line up to cast their ballots for the upcoming presidential election as early voting begins in Cincinnati, Ohio, October 6, 2020, photo by Megan Jelinger/Reuters

    Commentary

    Will There Be Domestic Terrorism During Election Season?

    The COVID-xix pandemic has roiled the elections. The United states is securely divided and the political system is polarized. Under these fraught circumstances, fifty-fifty a minor outcome can have far-reaching repercussions. What are the prospects for domestic terrorism in the context of U.Southward. elections?

  • U.S. Customs and Border Protection/Handout via Reuters

    Commentary

    The American Jihad Was a Failure. For Those Who Joined, It Was a Path to Destruction

    To continue the jihad going after 9/11, al Qaeda exhorted homegrown terrorists to take up arms in the United States. ISIS later made similar appeals. These calls to arms yielded some plots and a few attacks, but overall, the American jihad was a failure.

  • Blog

    Wildfires, America'due south Wealth Gap, Screening for COVID-19 at Piece of work: RAND Weekly Recap

    This weekly epitomize focuses on the growing adventure of wildfires, how Americans' incomes have grown (or not), workplace screenings for COVID-19 symptoms, and more.

  • Smoke superimposed over a mass grave of ISIS fighters found in 2017 near Fallujah, Iraq, photos by Iraqi ministry of defence and Marina/Adobe Stock; design by Peter Soriano/RAND Corporation

    Report

    Who Are America'south Jihadists?

    U.S. residents who plotted to deport out jihadist attacks at home and those who traveled or attempted to travel to join jihadists abroad correspond two dimensions of the terrorist threat. Just both types are driven by internal motivations and circumstances as much as they are inspired past external groups.

  • Osama bin Laden (L) sits with his adviser Ayman al-Zawahiri, in a secret location in Afghanistan, November 10, 2001, photo by Hamid Mir/Reuters

    Commentary

    Is Ayman al-Zawahiri Really the Hereafter of Al-Qaida?

    Nineteen years after 9/11, al Qaida master Ayman al-Zawahiri has all the same to achieve the household notoriety evoked by his immediate predecessor, Osama bin Laden. Just even though Zawahiri has conjured less of a personality cult, al Qaida'southward current leader is only as dangerous to the U.s. as its old one.

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Source: https://www.rand.org/topics/terrorism-threat-assessment.html